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One Health Zoonoses consequences Considered in “Disease Scenarios Africa” website A new website (www.diseasescenarios.org) exploring disease scenarios for four zoonotic diseases in five African countries has been launched by the Dynamic Drivers of Disease in Africa Consortium (www.driversofdisease.org). The Disease Scenarios Africa site presents the findings of workshops which posed What if ... questions to experts from a wide range of disciplines. The scenarios explored included a +3C rise in temperature, major agricultural expansion and an investment in One Health. The site is expected to help policymakers, researchers and communities identify a range of futures, as well as improve understanding and start discussion about desirable ones. It is hoped it will also spur action aimed at creating more resilient societies. The case studies considered are Lassa fever in Sierra Leone, Rift Valley fever in Kenya, henipavirus infection in Ghana, and trypanosomiasis in Zambia and Zimbabwe. Victor Galaz, assistant professor at the Stockholm Resilience Centre who led the work, writes in a Lancet Global Health (http://globalhealth.thelancet.com/2015/03/31/preparing-zoonotic-surprise) blog: “Sophisticated macro-models will, and should, continue to play an important role in the global health community’s attempts to explore future zoonotic disease risks. However, understanding Anthropocene disease risks will require more than large datasets, statistical ingenuity and massive computing power. It will also require abilities to combine multiple knowledge systems, multidisciplinary innovation, and well-developed communication skills.” The scenarios project will continue with villager workshops, the results of which will be added to the website during a Phase II of the project. Provided to the One Health Initiative website on April 14, 2015 by: Naomi Marks Project Communications Manager Dynamic Drivers of Disease in Africa Consortium | Twitter @DDDAC_org Social, Economic and Environmental Drivers of Zoonoses in Tanzania (SEEDZ) | Twitter @SEEDZ_TZ ESRC STEPS Centre, Institute of Development Studies Tel: +44 (0) 1273 915606
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